Refereed Publications:
Yang, X., and T. DelSole, 2008: Using the Ensemble Kalman Filter to Estimate Multiplicative Model Parameters. Nonlinear Process in Geophysics, submitted
DelSole, T., and M. K. Tippett, 2008: Average Predictability Time. Part I: Theory. J. Atmos. Sci., submitted.
DelSole, T., and M. K. Tippett, 2008: Average Predictability Time. Part II: Seamless Diagnosis of Predictability on Multiple Time Scales. J. Atmos. Sci., submitted.
Zhao, M., T. DelSole, and P. Dirmeyer, 2008: Empirical Correction of Selected Components in a Coupled Land-Atmosphere Model. J. Hydrometeor., submitted.
DelSole, T., 2008: Challenges in Stochastic Modeling of Quasigeostrophic Turbulence. Proc. Roy. Soc., submitted.
DelSole, T., and J. Shukla, 2008: Artificial Skill Due to Predictor Screening. J. Climate, in press.
Yang, X., T. DelSole, and H.-L. Pan, 2008: Empirical Correction of the NCEP Global Forecast System. Mon. Wea. Rev., in press.
Tippett, M. K., T. DelSole, S. J. Mason, A. G. Barnston, 2008: Regression-based methods for finding coupled patterns. J. Climate, in press.
DelSole, T., M. Zhao, P. A. Dirmeyer, B. P. Kirtman, 2008: Empirical correction of a coupled land-atmosphere model. Mon. Wea. Rev., in press.
Yang, X., and T. DelSole, 2008: A Diffuse Ensemble Kalman Filter, Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, submitted.
DelSole, T., and M. K. Tippett, 2008: Predictable Components and Singular Vectors. J. Atmos. Sci., 65, 1666-1678.
DelSole, T., and M. K. Tippett, 2007: Predictability: Recent Insights from Information Theory. Rev. Geophys., 45, RG4002, doi:10.1029/2006RG000202.
Monahan, A. H., and T. DelSole, 2007: Information theoretic measures of dependence, compactness, and non-Gaussianity.unpublished manuscript.
DelSole, T., 2007: A Bayesian Framework for Multimodel Regression. J. Climate, 20, 2810-2826. (AMS Copyright notice)
Vikhliaev, Y., P. Schopf, T. DelSole, and B. Kirtman, 2007: Finding multiple basin modes in a linear ocean model. J. Atmos. Ocean Tech., 24, 1033-1049. (AMS Copyright notice)
DelSole, T., 2007: Optimal Perturbations in Quasigeostrophic Turbulence. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 1350-1364. (AMS Copyright notice)
DelSole, T., and J. Shukla, 2006: Linear Prediction of Monsoon Rainfall in Indian Subdivisions. COLA Tech. Rep. 208 .
Shukla, J., T. DelSole, M. Fennessy, J. Kinter, and D. Paolino, 2006: Climate Model Fidelity and Projections of Climate Change. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L07702, doi:10.1029/2005GL025579.
DelSole, T., 2006: Low-Frequency Variations of Surface Temperature in Observations and Simulations. J. Climate, 19, 4487-4507. (AMS Copyright notice)
DelSole, T., and J. Shukla, 2006: Correction Note on “Linear Prediction of Indian Monsoon Rainfall.” J. Climate, 19, 3029-3030. (AMS Copyright notice)
DelSole, T., and J. Shukla, 2006: Specification of Wintertime North American Surface Temperature. J. Climate, 19, 2691-2716. (AMS Copyright notice)
DelSole, T., 2005: Predictability and Information Theory. Part II: Imperfect Forecasts. J. Atmos Sci., 62, 3368-3381. (AMS Copyright notice)
DelSole, T., 2004: Stochastic Models of Quasigeostrophic Turbulence. Surveys in Geophys., 25 (2), 107-149. (Author's PDF) (Journal's PDF -- Uses DocuRight)
DelSole, T., 2004: Predictability and Information Theory. Part I: Measures of Predictability. J. Atmos Sci., 61, 2425-2440. (AMS Copyright notice)
DelSole, T., 2004: The Necessity of Instantaneous Optimals in Stationary Turbulence. J. Atmos Sci., 61, 1086-1091. (AMS Copyright notice)
Chang, P., R. Saravanan, T. DelSole, F. Wang, 2004: Predictability of Linear Coupled Systems. Part I: Theoretical Analysis. J. Climate, 17, 1474-1486. (AMS Copyright notice)
DelSole, T., and P. Chang, 2003: Predictable component analysis, canonical correlation analysis, and autoregressive models. J. Atmos. Sci., 60, 409-416. (COLA Technical Report 117.) (AMS Copyright notice)
DelSole, T., 2002: Entropy as a Basis for Comparing and Blending Forecasts. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. 128, 2469-2496. (COLA Technical Report 111.) (Figures printed separately.)
DelSole, T., and J. Shukla, 2002: Linear Prediction of Indian Monsoon Rainfall. J. Climate, 15, 3645-3658. (COLA Technical Report 114.) (Figures and Tables printed separately.) (AMS Copyright notice)
DelSole, T., 2001: A Theory for the Forcing and Dissipation in Stochastic Turbulence Models, J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 3762-3775. (COLA Technical Report 84.)
DelSole, T., 2001: Optimally Persistent Patterns in Time-Varying Fields. J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 1341-1356. (COLA Technical Report 71.)
DelSole, T., 2001: A Simple Model for Transient Eddy Momentum Fluxes in the Upper Troposphere. J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 3019-3035. (COLA Technical Report 70.)
DelSole, T., 2000: A Fundamental Limitation of Markov Models. J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 2158-2168. (A portion of this paper was published as COLA Technical Report 55.)
DelSole, T., 1999: Stochastic Models of Shear Flow Turbulence with Enstrophy Transfer to Subgrid-Scales. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 2692-3703.
DelSole, T., and A. Y. Hou, 1999: Empirical Stochastic Models for the Dominant Climate Statistics of a General Circulation Model. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 3436-3456.
DelSole, T., and A. Y. Hou, 1999: Empirical Correction of a Dynamical Model. Part I: Fundamental Issues. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 2533-2545.
DelSole, T., 1997: Absolute Instability Induced by Dissipation. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 2586-2595.
DelSole, T., 1996: Can Quasigeostrophic Turbulence be Modeled Stochastically? J. Atmos. Sci., 53, 1617-1633.
DelSole, T., and B. F. Farrell, 1996: The Quasilinear Equilibration of a Thermally Maintained, Stochastically Excited Jet in a Quasigeostrophic Model. J. Atmos. Sci., 53, 1782-1797.
DelSole, T., and B. F. Farrell, 1995: A Stochastically Excited Linear System as a Model for Quasigeostrophic Turbulence: Analytic Results for One- and Two-Layer Fluids. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 2531-2537.
DelSole, T., and B. F. Farrell, 1994: Nonlinear Equilibration of Localized Instabilities on a Baroclinic Jet. J. Atmos. Sci., 51, 2270-2284.
Bernholc, J., A. Antonelli, T. M. DelSole, Y. Bar-Yam, and S. T. Pantelides, 1988: Mechanisms of Self-Diffusion in Diamond. Phys. Rev. Let., 61, 2689-2692.